Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KIL
0 - 1
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
HOM
2 - 1
STJ
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 0
MHE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 3
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 3
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
KHE
1 - 3
DUN
26%
25%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 0
DUN
43%
24%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
AIR
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |