Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
PET
2 - 1
HOM
12%
19%
69%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
HOM
3 - 0
EAS
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 1
HOM
15%
20%
66%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
HOM
1 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 4
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
PET
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 0
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
6 - 0
ELG
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
HIB
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
QOS
0 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |