Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 2
STJ
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 1
ICT
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
HOM
29%
30%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GLA
2 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
3 - 3
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
STM
2 - 1
DUN
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 1
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |