Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
HOM
26%
26%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 2
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 0
MHE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 2
ICT
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 0
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |