Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 2
GIR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
ABE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 2
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |