Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ABE
2 - 3
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 3
STJ
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |