Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
HOM
2 - 1
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
HOM
0 - 3
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BER
0 - 0
HOM
23%
24%
52%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 2
CEL
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 2
STJ
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 1
DUN
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
GLA
2 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |