Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
ABE
2 - 2
HOM
47%
27%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
HOM
3 - 2
DUN
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
MHE
0 - 3
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLA
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
ABE
4 - 1
DUN
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1990 |
STM
2 - 0
DUN
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
DUN
0 - 5
MHE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |