Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
ABE
0 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1974 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
HOM
0 - 0
CLY
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
HOM
3 - 1
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
CLY
2 - 0
HOM
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
DUM
1 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |