Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1960 |
CLY
2 - 1
HOM
65%
17%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
HIB
1 - 4
HOM
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
HOM
2 - 1
MHE
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
HOM
6 - 2
CLY
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
STM
3 - 1
HOM
40%
21%
39%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
DUN
3 - 2
RAI
61%
19%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
DUN
3 - 1
HIB
57%
18%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
AIR
4 - 2
DUN
67%
16%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
ABE
1 - 4
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |