Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1957 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1957 |
HOM
0 - 2
HIB
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
ABE
2 - 3
HOM
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1956 |
HOM
3 - 1
QOS
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
GLA
5 - 3
HOM
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1957 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUE
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1957 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
DUN
3 - 3
AIR
48%
21%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1956 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
39%
22%
39%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUN
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |