Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
HOM
3 - 4
MHE
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
DUN
2 - 5
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
HOM
1 - 2
ABE
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1936 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
56%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
CLY
1 - 0
HOM
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1936 |
HAM
4 - 2
DUN
76%
13%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
DUN
2 - 5
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1936 |
TLA
3 - 1
DUN
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1936 |
DUN
0 - 1
HIB
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1936 |
MHE
2 - 3
DUN
80%
12%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |