Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
AIR
3 - 1
HOM
29%
20%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 0
CLY
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
DUN
4 - 1
QOS
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1935 |
ALB
1 - 3
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
DUN
1 - 0
MHE
24%
19%
57%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
AIR
2 - 3
DUN
70%
17%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
STM
3 - 0
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |