Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
HOM
10 - 0
CWB
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
QOS
1 - 2
HOM
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 0
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 3
HOM
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 4
HOM
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 0
QOS
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 0
DUM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 2
CWB
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
3 - 3
DUM
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |