Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
TLA
2 - 0
HOM
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
4 - 0
AIR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
QUE
1 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
ALB
1 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
DUM
2 - 0
DUN
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
DUM
0 - 0
FAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
STM
4 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
HIB
0 - 0
DUM
72%
17%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |