Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
TLA
3 - 0
HOM
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
MHE
2 - 2
HOM
66%
18%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
HOM
4 - 1
KIL
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
FAL
2 - 2
HOM
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
DUM
1 - 0
KIL
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
STM
4 - 1
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
DUM
0 - 1
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
MHE
8 - 2
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |