Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1919 |
HOM
2 - 3
CEL
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1919 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1919 |
HOM
3 - 0
CLY
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1919 |
MHE
1 - 2
HOM
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1919 |
GLA
3 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1919 |
MHE
3 - 0
DUM
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1919 |
QUE
1 - 0
DUM
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1919 |
TLA
2 - 4
DUM
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1919 |
DUM
4 - 3
TLA
23%
22%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1919 |
HAM
0 - 3
DUM
67%
19%
15%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |