Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1918 |
TLA
2 - 3
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1918 |
HOM
1 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1918 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1918 |
HOM
3 - 0
CLY
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1918 |
AIR
0 - 1
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1918 |
DUM
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1918 |
DUM
1 - 2
HAM
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1918 |
AIR
0 - 0
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1918 |
QUE
2 - 0
DUM
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1918 |
DUM
5 - 2
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |