Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1916 |
HOM
2 - 0
QUE
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1916 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
20%
24%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1916 |
STM
0 - 1
HOM
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1916 |
HOM
1 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1916 |
HAM
1 - 0
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1916 |
DUM
1 - 1
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1916 |
HAM
3 - 1
DUM
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1916 |
DUM
4 - 3
DUN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1916 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUM
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1916 |
DUM
1 - 1
ABE
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |