Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1915 |
QUE
0 - 3
HOM
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1915 |
HOM
2 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1915 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1915 |
MHE
1 - 3
HOM
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1915 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1915 |
DUM
1 - 1
TLA
29%
23%
47%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1915 |
GRE
3 - 1
DUM
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1915 |
DUM
2 - 1
CLY
60%
21%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1915 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUM
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1915 |
DUM
3 - 1
AIR
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |