Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
MHE
0 - 2
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1914 |
CEL
0 - 0
HOM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1914 |
HOM
0 - 1
KIL
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1914 |
QUE
3 - 0
DUM
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
DUM
2 - 6
GRE
40%
24%
35%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
GRE
3 - 1
DUM
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
DUM
0 - 3
GLA
23%
21%
56%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1914 |
DUM
2 - 3
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |