Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1895 |
HIB
3 - 2
HOM
28%
22%
49%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1895 |
HOM
6 - 0
STB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1895 |
GLA
7 - 2
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1895 |
TLA
5 - 4
HOM
33%
22%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1895 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1896 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUM
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1895 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUM
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1895 |
DUM
2 - 4
TLA
35%
22%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1895 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1895 |
CLY
5 - 1
DUM
39%
23%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |