Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
REN
4 - 1
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1892 |
LEI
1 - 3
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
HOM
2 - 2
REN
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
ABE
3 - 4
HOM
28%
23%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
STM
3 - 2
DUM
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
DUM
1 - 2
TLA
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1892 |
DUM
2 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1892 |
GLA
3 - 2
DUM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1892 |
DUM
1 - 2
STM
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |