Heart of Midlothian vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1891 |
TLA
4 - 0
HOM
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
COW
1 - 2
HOM
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUM
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
TLA
49%
21%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
CAM
2 - 2
DUM
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
STM
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1891 |
DUM
4 - 0
VOL
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |