Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
5º
4º
92
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
5 - 1
HOM
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 4
GLA
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 1
HIB
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 2
RBL
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 2
CEL
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 1
CEL
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |