Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HOM
1 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 0
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 4
HOM
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
TIN
66%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 2
STJ
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
LEI
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
LRI
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |