Heart of Midlothian vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ABE
2 - 3
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 3
STJ
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
1 - 1
GLA
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
5 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
5 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 3
CEL
31%
24%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
MHE
0 - 4
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |