Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ICT
1 - 1
HOM
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 1
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
QOS
1 - 1
HOM
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
HOM
22%
26%
53%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 2
ICT
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
HOM
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |