Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
HOM
6 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
MHE
5 - 3
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 1
EAS
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 1
AIR
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
AYR
1 - 1
MHE
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
EAS
2 - 2
AYR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
AYR
0 - 1
CEL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
STJ
2 - 0
AYR
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
AYR
0 - 1
CLY
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |