Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.3%
11.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1939 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOM
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
HOM
0 - 1
HIB
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 0
PAR
69%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 3
HAM
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1939 |
AYR
3 - 3
ABE
30%
21%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
QOS
6 - 1
AYR
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
AYR
3 - 4
GLA
30%
21%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1938 |
ALB
3 - 3
AYR
42%
22%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1938 |
TLA
3 - 2
AYR
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |