Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1936 |
ARB
1 - 3
HOM
15%
17%
69%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1936 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
20%
19%
61%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
HOM
3 - 0
AIR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1936 |
AYR
1 - 1
ABE
23%
20%
57%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
AYR
4 - 1
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1936 |
KIL
7 - 2
AYR
73%
14%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
AYR
1 - 3
QOS
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
GLA
6 - 1
AYR
81%
11%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |