Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
PAR
1 - 3
HOM
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
HOM
1 - 0
AIR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1934 |
HOM
4 - 0
ALB
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
23%
21%
56%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
AYR
5 - 1
QUE
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1934 |
DUN
1 - 2
AYR
32%
22%
45%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
AYR
1 - 1
QOS
57%
20%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
KIL
6 - 3
AYR
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |