Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
HOM
8 - 1
AIR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
STJ
3 - 1
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
HOM
0 - 0
ABE
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
KIL
2 - 5
HOM
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
AYR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
22%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
AYR
1 - 1
AIR
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
MHE
5 - 2
AYR
68%
17%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
HIB
0 - 0
AYR
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
AYR
3 - 3
DUN
41%
23%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |