Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1917 |
PAR
4 - 1
HOM
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1917 |
KIL
4 - 3
HOM
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 1
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1917 |
FAL
4 - 0
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
1 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1917 |
AYR
4 - 0
FAL
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1917 |
STM
1 - 1
AYR
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1917 |
CLY
3 - 1
AYR
46%
22%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1917 |
AYR
1 - 3
CLY
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
TLA
1 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |