Heart of Midlothian vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
AIR
2 - 2
HOM
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
HOM
1 - 0
CLY
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
KIL
0 - 3
HOM
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
HOM
2 - 1
MHE
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
HOM
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
AYR
0 - 6
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
AYR
1 - 2
HIB
48%
22%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
TLA
4 - 2
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
AYR
0 - 2
AIR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
AYR
2 - 0
STM
66%
17%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |