Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 3
EVE
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PNE
1 - 0
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CWB
1 - 1
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
STI
2 - 1
HOM
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
DUM
2 - 0
HOM
18%
22%
61%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 4
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
EDI
0 - 2
ARB
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ARB
5 - 0
BER
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
QUE
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |