Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
HOM
2 - 0
GLA
61%
18%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1960 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
32%
22%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
HOM
3 - 2
AIR
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1960 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
AYR
1 - 1
HOM
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1960 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1960 |
KIL
3 - 2
ARB
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1960 |
ARB
2 - 2
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
CEL
4 - 0
ARB
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |