Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
STJ
1 - 7
HOM
41%
22%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 2
STM
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
AYR
3 - 1
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
HOM
4 - 0
MHE
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1938 |
FAL
0 - 1
HOM
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 4
RAI
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
3 - 3
GLA
25%
21%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
KIL
1 - 1
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
1 - 1
QOS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 2
ABE
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |