Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
HOM
2 - 1
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
GLA
0 - 3
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
HOM
0 - 0
QOS
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
HOM
2 - 0
QUE
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
54%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
QUE
1 - 1
ARB
54%
21%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
ARB
1 - 2
CLY
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 1
KIL
48%
22%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
ARB
1 - 1
GLA
22%
21%
58%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
HAM
2 - 2
ARB
78%
12%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |