Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
ALB
1 - 3
HOM
23%
19%
58%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
HOM
5 - 2
GLA
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
QOS
0 - 4
HOM
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
QUE
0 - 2
HOM
25%
20%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
57%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1936 |
ARB
4 - 1
TLA
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
DUN
1 - 4
ARB
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
ARB
2 - 2
STM
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
HIB
4 - 1
ARB
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
ARB
1 - 2
FAL
44%
23%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |