Heart of Midlothian vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
DUN
2 - 5
HOM
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1935 |
QUE
2 - 2
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
AIR
3 - 1
HOM
29%
20%
51%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 1
QOS
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
HIB
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
CLY
1 - 3
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1935 |
GLA
6 - 0
ARB
91%
6%
3%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |