Heart of Midlothian vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1896 |
DUN
0 - 5
HOM
22%
21%
58%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
HOM
7 - 0
DUM
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1895 |
HIB
3 - 2
HOM
28%
22%
49%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1895 |
HOM
6 - 0
STB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1895 |
GLA
7 - 2
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1893 |
ABE
5 - 2
TLA
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1893 |
ABE
4 - 0
DUM
28%
23%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1893 |
LEI
1 - 1
ABE
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1893 |
HOM
3 - 1
ABE
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1893 |
ABE
1 - 2
STM
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |