Heart of Midlothian vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
STM
3 - 1
HOM
31%
22%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
CLY
2 - 3
HOM
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
HOM
1 - 3
DUM
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
REN
4 - 1
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1893 |
ABE
1 - 2
STM
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1893 |
REN
2 - 1
ABE
59%
21%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1893 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEL
26%
22%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1893 |
GLA
4 - 3
ABE
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
ABE
5 - 1
CLY
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |