Heart of Midlothian vs Abercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
HOM
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 2
REN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
CAM
3 - 3
HOM
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUM
48%
22%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
STM
2 - 5
HOM
38%
24%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Abercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 1
STM
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
ABE
2 - 5
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
VOL
0 - 3
ABE
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
ABE
3 - 2
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1891 |
DUM
8 - 1
ABE
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |