Heart of Lions vs Samartex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DRE
1 - 2
HEA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HEA
1 - 0
NSO
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEC
1 - 1
HEA
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEA
3 - 0
NFC
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 0
HEA
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Samartex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 0
BOF
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
SFC
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
AGO
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
SFC
41%
29%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 2
BER
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |