Heart of Lions vs Ebusua Dwarfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
24.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
HEA
35%
31%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HEA
1 - 1
ALL
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EBU
0 - 0
HEA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HEA
1 - 0
NEW
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
HEA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ebusua Dwarfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
EBU
2 - 0
ADU
53%
28%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ADU
0 - 0
EBU
41%
32%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EBU
0 - 0
HEA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ASH
2 - 1
EBU
50%
29%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
EBU
0 - 2
AMI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |