Heart of Lions vs Ebusua Dwarfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
25.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
HEA
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 0
WAS
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 2
ALL
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
HEA
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 0
EBU
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ebusua Dwarfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EBU
2 - 0
BEC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 1
EBU
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MIG
1 - 0
EBU
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
EBU
2 - 1
ASH
57%
27%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 0
EBU
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |