Heart of Lions vs Ebusua Dwarfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 2
HEA
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
HEA
2 - 2
ASA
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
HEA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
HEA
0 - 0
MIG
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASH
2 - 0
HEA
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ebusua Dwarfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
EBU
5 - 0
BER
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
REA
4 - 0
EBU
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
EBU
3 - 0
KIN
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 0
EBU
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EBU
1 - 0
ADU
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |