Heart of Lions vs Berekum Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
HEA
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 0
KIN
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HEA
0 - 1
HEA
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
HEA
2 - 0
ADU
49%
30%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
HEA
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Berekum Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MED
2 - 1
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
REA
44%
30%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
KIN
1 - 0
BER
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
HEA
46%
30%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ADU
1 - 0
BER
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |