HBOK vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HBOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 3
HBO
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HBO
0 - 1
DEL
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
HBO
2 - 1
VVA
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CSW
3 - 1
HBO
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HBO
0 - 2
SVL
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 0
ZWA
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DSO
0 - 3
SWI
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HAA
0 - 1
SWI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 2
HED
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
3 - 0
RCL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |